The Young, Struggling First Baseman Isn’t Struggling Anymore

If you follow the Giants every day, you know about the weird relationship between Brandon Belt and a vocal subset of Giant fans. For them, Belt is the problem. Take this Facebook comment from when the official San Francisco Giants account announced that Belt won the NL Player of the Week Award:

 

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Good point, I guess, if we ignore the fact that however Belt makes his outs, he has this season made fewer outs per plate appearance than any Giant starter except Posey and Scutaro. The strikeouts just aren’t really a problem. Belt is hot right now, though. He changed his grip, apparently, and that has made him good. Seems like a convenient explanation, and like the best-shape-of-his-life stories you read every spring, probably too simple.  Belt has actually been hitting quite well for all but the first three weeks of the season:

Belt in April: .235/.287/.353  2 HR

Belt since May 1: .285/.370/.507  12 HR

If you want to use an even more arbitrary endpoint, he’s been even better since April 22.  Those first three weeks just killed him. So whether it’s the new grip, standing further back in the box, or both, or neither, Brandon Belt is suddenly having a very nice year, which the writers at the Chronicle are trying to tell us is better than the nice year he was already having.

If you believe in the park factors that go into OPS+, Belt is already something of a star, with a higher career OPS+ than Cecil Cooper, Paul Konerko, Gil Hodges, and Mark Grace. And he’s not just arguably a better hitter than those guys.  Here’s the list, though August 20, of San Francisco Giants first basemen with an OPS over .750:

Rk Player OPS+ OPS From To Age PA BA OBP SLG
1 Willie McCovey 149 .900 1959 1980 21-42 8523 .274 .377 .524
2 Will Clark 145 .872 1986 1993 22-29 4878 .299 .373 .499
3 Orlando Cepeda 140 .887 1958 1966 20-28 4531 .308 .352 .535
4 Brandon Belt 126 .791 2011 2013 23-25 1113 .266 .347 .444
5 Mike Ivie 126 .806 1978 1981 25-28 1131 .281 .340 .466
6 Darrell Evans 119 .781 1976 1983 29-36 4406 .255 .358 .422
7 Aubrey Huff 116 .777 2010 2012 33-35 1342 .264 .346 .431
8 J.T. Snow 112 .807 1997 2008 29-40 4497 .273 .369 .438
9 Willie Montanez 112 .769 1975 1976 27-28 826 .306 .357 .412
10 Dave Kingman 112 .773 1971 1974 22-25 1403 .224 .304 .469
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/21/2013.

 

Belt’s already pretty high up that list, already a modest success story. Don’t people remember Todd Benzinger? Damon Minor? Dave McCarty?

The best part is that we can stop having this silly argument about Belt’s worth to the team.

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